soccerholic.
Polymarket World Cup markets — public record
Record
66W · 41L
P/L
+$937
ROI
+9%
Avg CLV
-0.3%
P/L assumes $100 flat stake per pick · every pick public, including losses

World Cup

11 Jul – 14 Jul
Norway vs England
World Cup · knockout · 11 Jul · Polymarket  
Norway24.6%
Draw25.6%
England50.1%
Polymarket decimal price
Norway
4.06
Polymarket
Draw
3.9
Polymarket
England
2.0
Polymarket
Norway wins
$406
Draw
$390
England wins
$200
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
Norway — last 5
W 2–1 BrazilW 2–1 Côte d'IvoireL 1–4 FranceW 3–2 SenegalW 4–1 Iraq
England — last 5
W 3–2 MexicoW 2–1 Congo DRW 2–0 PanamaD 0–0 GhanaW 4–2 Croatia
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
0-1
England · Medium
Soccerholic AI
England lean, projected 0-1 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is England at 50.1%.
  • Last-five form points: Norway 12, England 13.
  • FIFA rank edge: England (4).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
◉ Our pick
Norway · 4.44 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.
Argentina vs Switzerland
World Cup · knockout · 12 Jul · Polymarket  
Argentina57.9%
Draw26.9%
Switzerland16.1%
Polymarket decimal price
Argentina
1.73
Polymarket
Draw
3.72
Polymarket
Switzerland
6.2
Polymarket
Argentina wins
$173
Draw
$372
Switzerland wins
$620
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
Argentina — last 5
W 3–2 EgyptW 3–2 Cabo VerdeW 3–1 JordanW 2–0 AustriaW 3–0 Algeria
Switzerland — last 5
W 4–3 ColombiaW 2–0 AlgeriaW 2–1 CanadaW 4–1 Bosnia and Herze...D 1–1 Qatar
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
1-0
Argentina · Medium
Soccerholic AI
Argentina lean, projected 1-0 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is Argentina at 57.9%.
  • Last-five form points: Argentina 15, Switzerland 13.
  • FIFA rank edge: Argentina (1).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
◉ Our pick
Argentina · 1.76 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.
France vs Spain
World Cup · knockout · 14 Jul · Polymarket  
France42.5%
Draw30.5%
Spain29.5%
Polymarket decimal price
France
2.35
Polymarket
Draw
3.28
Polymarket
Spain
3.39
Polymarket
France wins
$235
Draw
$328
Spain wins
$339
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
France — last 5
W 2–0 MoroccoW 1–0 ParaguayW 3–0 SwedenW 4–1 NorwayW 3–0 Iraq
Spain — last 5
W 2–1 BelgiumW 1–0 PortugalW 3–0 AustriaW 1–0 UruguayW 4–0 Saudi Arabia
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
1-1
France · Low
Soccerholic AI
France lean, projected 1-1 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is France at 42.5%.
  • Last-five form points: France 15, Spain 15.
  • FIFA rank edge: Spain (2).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
— No pick
No logged pick for this match.
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.