soccerholic.
Polymarket World Cup markets — public record
Record
68W · 42L
P/L
+$978
ROI
+9%
Avg CLV
-0.2%
P/L assumes $100 flat stake per pick · every pick public, including losses

World Cup

14 Jul – 15 Jul
France vs Spain
World Cup · knockout · 14 Jul · Polymarket  
France41.5%
Draw29.5%
Spain28.5%
Polymarket decimal price
France
2.41
Polymarket
Draw
3.39
Polymarket
Spain
3.51
Polymarket
France wins
$241
Draw
$339
Spain wins
$351
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
France — last 5
W 2–0 MoroccoW 1–0 ParaguayW 3–0 SwedenW 4–1 NorwayW 3–0 Iraq
Spain — last 5
W 2–1 BelgiumW 1–0 PortugalW 3–0 AustriaW 1–0 UruguayW 4–0 Saudi Arabia
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
1-1
France · Low
Soccerholic AI
France lean, projected 1-1 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is France at 41.5%.
  • Last-five form points: France 15, Spain 15.
  • FIFA rank edge: Spain (2).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
◉ Our pick
France · 2.33 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.
England vs Argentina
World Cup · knockout · 15 Jul · Polymarket  
England37.5%
Draw32.5%
Argentina30.5%
Polymarket decimal price
England
2.67
Polymarket
Draw
3.08
Polymarket
Argentina
3.28
Polymarket
England wins
$267
Draw
$308
Argentina wins
$328
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
England — last 5
W 2–1 NorwayW 3–2 MexicoW 2–1 Congo DRW 2–0 PanamaD 0–0 Ghana
Argentina — last 5
W 3–1 SwitzerlandW 3–2 EgyptW 3–2 Cabo VerdeW 3–1 JordanW 2–0 Austria
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
1-1
Draw · Low
Soccerholic AI
Draw lean, projected 1-1 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is Draw at 37.5%.
  • Last-five form points: England 13, Argentina 15.
  • FIFA rank edge: Argentina (1).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
— No pick
No logged pick for this match.
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.