soccerholic

soccerholic.

Polymarket World Cup markets — public record

Record

66W · 41L

P/L

+$937

ROI

+9%

Avg CLV

-0.3%

P/L assumes $100 flat stake per pick · every pick public, including losses

World Cup

10 Jul – 12 Jul

Spain vs Belgium

World Cup · knockout · 10 Jul · Polymarket

Spain60.5%

Draw24.5%

Belgium16.5%

View on Polymarket ↗

Polymarket decimal price

Spain

1.65

Polymarket

Draw

4.08

Polymarket

Belgium

6.06

Polymarket

Amount$

Spain wins

$165

Draw

$408

Belgium wins

$606

Estimated gross return if outcome wins

Recent form

Spain — last 5

W 1–0 PortugalW 3–0 AustriaW 1–0 UruguayW 4–0 Saudi ArabiaD 0–0 Cabo Verde

Belgium — last 5

W 4–1 USAW 3–2 SenegalW 5–1 New ZealandD 0–0 IranD 1–1 Egypt

Team news

API-Football free plan does not include this World Cup season yet. Source: API-Football.

AI verdict

2-0

Spain · Medium

Soccerholic AI

Spain's superior defensive record and FIFA ranking favor them in this knockout clash.

Spain unbeaten with 5 clean sheets and 0 goals conceded in last 5 matches
Market heavily backs Spain at 60.5% vs Belgium's 16.5% implied probability
Spain ranked 2nd FIFA vs Belgium 9th, recent wins over Portugal and Austria show quality

Risk

Belgium's attacking form with 13 goals in 5 matches could exploit any Spanish lapses
Knockout format increases variance; Belgium's recent wins show they can score freely

◉ Our pick
Spain · 1.65 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close

Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.

Norway vs England

World Cup · knockout · 11 Jul · Polymarket

Norway22.5%

Draw26.5%

England52.5%

View on Polymarket ↗

Polymarket decimal price

Norway

4.44

Polymarket

Draw

3.77

Polymarket

England

1.9

Polymarket

Amount$

Norway wins

$444

Draw

$377

England wins

$190

Estimated gross return if outcome wins

Recent form

Norway — last 5

W 2–1 BrazilW 2–1 Côte d'IvoireL 1–4 FranceW 3–2 SenegalW 4–1 Iraq

England — last 5

W 3–2 MexicoW 2–1 Congo DRW 2–0 PanamaD 0–0 GhanaW 4–2 Croatia

Team news

API-Football free plan does not include this World Cup season yet. Source: API-Football.

AI verdict

2-1

England · Medium

Soccerholic AI

England's superior rank and form edge Norway in a competitive knockout clash.

England ranked 4th vs Norway's 31st with stronger defensive record (5 GA vs 9 GA in last 5)
England unbeaten in last 5 (4W-1D, 13 pts) while Norway lost heavily to France 1-4
Market heavily favors England at 51.5% vs Norway's 22.5% with significant volume

Risk

Norway's recent wins over Brazil and Côte d'Ivoire show upset potential in knockout format
Norway's attacking output (12 GF in 5) could exploit England's occasional defensive lapses

◉ Our pick
Norway · 4.44 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close

Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.

Argentina vs Switzerland

World Cup · knockout · 12 Jul · Polymarket

Argentina56.9%

Draw26.9%

Switzerland16.4%

View on Polymarket ↗

Polymarket decimal price

Argentina

1.76

Polymarket

Draw

3.72

Polymarket

Switzerland

6.11

Polymarket

Amount$

Argentina wins

$176

Draw

$372

Switzerland wins

$611

Estimated gross return if outcome wins

Recent form

Argentina — last 5

W 3–2 EgyptW 3–2 Cabo VerdeW 3–1 JordanW 2–0 AustriaW 3–0 Algeria

Switzerland — last 5

W 4–3 ColombiaW 2–0 AlgeriaW 2–1 CanadaW 4–1 Bosnia and Herze...D 1–1 Qatar

Team news

API-Football free plan does not include this World Cup season yet. Source: API-Football.

AI verdict

2-1

Argentina · Medium

Soccerholic AI

Argentina's top FIFA ranking and perfect form favor them, but Switzerland's attacking threat keeps it tight.

Argentina ranked #1 globally with 5 consecutive wins, scoring 14 goals in last 5 matches
Switzerland's recent form strong (4W-1D) but facing significant step up in quality
Market implies 57% Argentina win probability, consistent with ranking and form differential

Risk

Both teams conceding regularly (Argentina 5 GA, Switzerland 6 GA in last 5)
Switzerland's 4-3 win vs Colombia shows capability in high-scoring knockout matches

◉ Our pick
Argentina · 1.76 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close

Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.

Pick history

4 open · 107 settled

World Cup

4 open · 97 settled

Date	Match	Pick	Odds	Result	CLV
19 Jul	World Cup 2026	Netherlands	23.0	OPEN	−21.8%
11 Jul	Argentina v Switzerland	Argentina	1.76	OPEN	—
11 Jul	Norway v England	Norway	4.44	OPEN	−0.1%
10 Jul	Spain v Belgium	Spain	1.65	OPEN	−0.2%
9 Jul	France v Morocco	France	1.63	WON	+0.2%
7 Jul	Switzerland v Colombia	Colombia	2.3	LOST	−2.2%
7 Jul	Argentina v Egypt	Argentina	1.4	WON	+2.9%
6 Jul	United States v Belgium	Draw	3.39	LOST	−3.4%
6 Jul	Portugal v Spain	Spain	1.94	WON	−2.0%
5 Jul	Mexico v England	Draw	3.28	LOST	+3.3%
5 Jul	Brazil v Norway	Brazil	1.94	LOST	−0.1%
4 Jul	Paraguay v France	France	1.2	WON	+0.2%
4 Jul	Canada v Morocco	Morocco	1.87	WON	+1.9%
3 Jul	Colombia v Ghana	Draw	4.08	LOST	−0.0%
3 Jul	Argentina v Cabo Verde	Argentina	1.17	WON	−1.1%
3 Jul	Australia v Egypt	Egypt	2.6	LOST	+0.1%
2 Jul	Switzerland v Algeria	Switzerland	2.11	WON	+0.2%
2 Jul	Portugal v Croatia	Croatia	5.13	LOST	+0.0%
2 Jul	Spain v Austria	Spain	1.34	WON	−1.5%
1 Jul	United States v Bosnia and Herzegovina	United States	1.4	WON	+0.1%
1 Jul	Belgium v Senegal	Senegal	3.77	LOST	—
1 Jul	England v DR Congo	England	1.31	WON	—
30 Jun	Mexico v Ecuador	Mexico	2.3	WON	+0.0%
30 Jun	France v Sweden	France	1.31	WON	+1.5%
30 Jun	Côte d'Ivoire v Norway	Norway	2.11	WON	−4.0%
29 Jun	Netherlands v Morocco	Netherlands	2.2	WON	+0.1%
29 Jun	Germany v Paraguay	Germany	1.38	LOST	+0.1%
29 Jun	Brazil v Japan	Brazil	1.74	WON	+0.1%
28 Jun	South Africa v Canada	Canada	1.68	WON	—
27 Jun	Algeria v Austria	Draw	2.36	WON	+1.5%
27 Jun	Jordan v Argentina	Argentina	1.21	WON	−3.0%
27 Jun	Colombia v Portugal	Portugal	1.96	LOST	+0.2%
27 Jun	DR Congo v Uzbekistan	DR Congo	1.81	WON	−0.3%
27 Jun	Croatia v Ghana	Draw	3.4	LOST	+1.1%
27 Jun	Panama v England	England	1.2	WON	−1.5%
26 Jun	New Zealand v Belgium	Belgium	1.21	WON	−0.7%
26 Jun	Egypt v Iran	Egypt	2.56	LOST	−1.4%
26 Jun	Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia	Cape Verde	2.6	LOST	+0.2%
26 Jun	Uruguay v Spain	Spain	1.56	WON	−0.9%
26 Jun	Norway v France	France	1.71	WON	−2.3%
26 Jun	Senegal v Iraq	Senegal	1.26	WON	−1.3%
25 Jun	Paraguay v Australia	Draw	2.4	WON	+1.5%
25 Jun	Turkey v USA	Draw	4.35	LOST	+0.3%
25 Jun	Japan v Sweden	Draw	3.6	WON	−1.6%
25 Jun	Tunisia v Netherlands	Netherlands	1.16	WON	+1.0%
25 Jun	Curaçao v Ivory Coast	Ivory Coast	1.18	WON	−2.2%
25 Jun	Ecuador v Germany	Germany	2.0	LOST	+14.8%
24 Jun	South Africa v South Korea	South Korea	1.69	LOST	+1.7%
24 Jun	Czech Republic v Mexico	Draw	4.14	LOST	+1.1%
24 Jun	Scotland v Brazil	Brazil	1.42	WON	+4.4%
24 Jun	Morocco v Haiti	Morocco	1.23	WON	+0.8%
24 Jun	Bosnia & Herzegovina v Qatar	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1.49	WON	+6.3%
24 Jun	Switzerland v Canada	Draw	3.15	LOST	+0.0%
23 Jun	Colombia v DR Congo	Colombia	1.56	WON	−4.3%
23 Jun	Panama v Croatia	Croatia	1.59	WON	+1.6%
23 Jun	England v Ghana	England	1.25	LOST	−1.0%
23 Jun	Portugal v Uzbekistan	Portugal	1.25	WON	+3.3%
22 Jun	Jordan v Algeria	Algeria	1.62	WON	+4.4%
22 Jun	Norway v Senegal	Norway	2.44	WON	+8.4%
22 Jun	France v Iraq	France	1.12	WON	+0.5%
22 Jun	Argentina v Austria	Argentina	1.63	WON	+6.5%
21 Jun	New Zealand v Egypt	Egypt	1.66	WON	−0.6%
21 Jun	Uruguay v Cape Verde	Uruguay	1.54	LOST	+0.9%
21 Jun	Belgium v Iran	Belgium	1.47	LOST	−1.7%
21 Jun	Spain v Saudi Arabia	Spain	1.13	WON	−1.5%
20 Jun	Tunisia v Japan	Japan	1.61	WON	+1.2%
20 Jun	Ecuador v Curaçao	Ecuador	1.14	LOST	−1.5%
20 Jun	Germany v Ivory Coast	Germany	1.59	WON	+0.9%
20 Jun	Netherlands v Sweden	Netherlands	1.78	WON	+0.5%
19 Jun	Turkey v Paraguay	Turkey	2.08	LOST	−2.2%
19 Jun	Brazil v Haiti	Brazil	1.14	WON	—
19 Jun	Scotland v Morocco	Morocco	1.81	WON	—
19 Jun	USA v Australia	USA	1.66	WON	—
18 Jun	Mexico v South Korea	Draw	3.5	LOST	+1.5%
18 Jun	Canada v Qatar	Draw	6.25	LOST	−0.9%
18 Jun	Switzerland v Bosnia & Herzegovina	Draw	4.3	LOST	+0.4%
18 Jun	Czech Republic v South Africa	Czech Republic	1.83	LOST	−4.4%
17 Jun	Uzbekistan v Colombia	Colombia	1.42	WON	−0.2%
17 Jun	Ghana v Panama	Ghana	2.28	WON	−4.8%
17 Jun	England v Croatia	England	1.77	WON	−1.8%
17 Jun	Portugal v DR Congo	Portugal	1.33	LOST	−1.6%
16 Jun	Austria v Jordan	Austria	1.37	WON	−2.5%
16 Jun	Argentina v Algeria	Argentina	1.43	WON	−10.1%
16 Jun	Iraq v Norway	Norway	1.22	WON	−2.3%
16 Jun	France v Senegal	France	1.5	WON	−4.2%
15 Jun	Iran v New Zealand	Iran	1.89	LOST	−6.5%
15 Jun	Saudi Arabia v Uruguay	Uruguay	1.48	LOST	−3.8%
15 Jun	Belgium v Egypt	Draw	4.1	WON	−1.6%
15 Jun	Spain v Cape Verde	Spain	1.12	LOST	−1.2%
14 Jun	Sweden v Tunisia	Sweden	1.99	WON	−0.4%
14 Jun	Ivory Coast v Ecuador	Draw	2.95	LOST	−1.9%
14 Jun	Netherlands v Japan	Draw	3.7	WON	−1.2%
14 Jun	Germany v Curaçao	Germany	1.06	WON	−1.4%
13 Jun	Australia v Turkey	Turkey	1.78	LOST	+2.8%
13 Jun	Haiti v Scotland	Scotland	1.6	WON	−2.4%
13 Jun	Brazil v Morocco	Brazil	1.73	LOST	−1.2%
13 Jun	Qatar v Switzerland	Switzerland	1.27	LOST	+0.3%
12 Jun	USA v Paraguay	USA	2.04	WON	−5.0%
12 Jun	Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina	Canada	1.86	LOST	−1.6%
11 Jun	South Korea v Czech Republic	Draw	3.25	LOST	+0.3%
11 Jun	Mexico v South Africa	Mexico	1.47	WON	+0.5%

J1 League archive

10 settled

Date	Match	Pick	Odds	Result	CLV
6 Jun	Kawasaki Frontale v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC	Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC	2.03	WON	—
6 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol v Kyoto Purple Sanga	Kashiwa Reysol	1.98	LOST	—
6 Jun	Yokohama F Marinos v Shimizu S Pulse	Yokohama F Marinos	2.4	WON	—
6 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds v Fagiano Okayama	Urawa Red Diamonds	1.96	LOST	—
6 Jun	Tokyo Verdy v Gamba Osaka	Gamba Osaka	2.63	WON	—
6 Jun	FC Machida Zelvia v Nagoya Grampus	FC Machida Zelvia	2.11	WON	—
6 Jun	Mito HollyHock v V-Varen Nagasaki	Mito HollyHock	2.3	LOST	—
6 Jun	JEF United Chiba v Avispa Fukuoka	Avispa Fukuoka	2.65	WON	—
6 Jun	FC Tokyo v Cerezo Osaka	Draw	3.72	LOST	—
6 Jun	Kashima Antlers v Vissel Kobe	Kashima Antlers	2.5	WON	—

World Cup

Winner odds

WC 2026 Simulator

Pick history

World Cup

J1 League archive