soccerholic.
Polymarket World Cup markets — public record
Record
69W · 43L
P/L
+$1,101
ROI
+10%
Avg CLV
-0.3%
P/L assumes $100 flat stake per pick · every pick public, including losses

World Cup

18 Jul – 19 Jul
France vs England
World Cup · knockout · 18 Jul · Polymarket  
France53.5%
Draw23.5%
England23.5%
Polymarket decimal price
France
1.87
Polymarket
Draw
4.26
Polymarket
England
4.26
Polymarket
France wins
$187
Draw
$426
England wins
$426
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
France — last 5
L 4–6 EnglandL 0–2 SpainW 2–0 MoroccoW 1–0 ParaguayW 3–0 Sweden
England — last 5
W 6–4 FranceL 1–2 ArgentinaW 2–1 NorwayW 3–2 MexicoW 2–1 Congo DR
Team news
Lineups not available from API-Football yet. Last checked 19 Jul 02:06 UTC. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
Verdict refresh pending.
◉ Our pick
France · 2.02 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.
Spain vs Argentina
World Cup · knockout · 19 Jul · Polymarket  
Spain42.4%
Draw31.6%
Argentina26.9%
Polymarket decimal price
Spain
2.36
Polymarket
Draw
3.16
Polymarket
Argentina
3.72
Polymarket
Spain wins
$236
Draw
$316
Argentina wins
$372
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
Spain — last 5
W 2–0 FranceW 2–1 BelgiumW 1–0 PortugalW 3–0 AustriaW 1–0 Uruguay
Argentina — last 5
W 2–1 EnglandW 3–1 SwitzerlandW 3–2 EgyptW 3–2 Cabo VerdeW 3–1 Jordan
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
1-1
Spain · Low
Soccerholic AI
Spain lean, projected 1-1 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is Spain at 42.4%.
  • Last-five form points: Spain 15, Argentina 15.
  • FIFA rank edge: Argentina (1).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
◉ Our pick
Spain · 2.35 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.