soccerholic.
Polymarket World Cup markets — public record
Record
65W · 41L
P/L
+$874
ROI
+8%
Avg CLV
-0.3%
P/L assumes $100 flat stake per pick · every pick public, including losses

World Cup

10 Jul – 12 Jul
Spain vs Belgium
World Cup · knockout · 10 Jul · Polymarket  
Spain59.6%
Draw24.4%
Belgium16.9%
Polymarket decimal price
Spain
1.68
Polymarket
Draw
4.1
Polymarket
Belgium
5.92
Polymarket
Spain wins
$168
Draw
$410
Belgium wins
$592
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
Spain — last 5
W 1–0 PortugalW 3–0 AustriaW 1–0 UruguayW 4–0 Saudi ArabiaD 0–0 Cabo Verde
Belgium — last 5
W 4–1 USAW 3–2 SenegalW 5–1 New ZealandD 0–0 IranD 1–1 Egypt
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
2-1
Spain · Medium
Soccerholic AI
Spain lean, projected 2-1 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is Spain at 59.6%.
  • Last-five form points: Spain 13, Belgium 11.
  • FIFA rank edge: Spain (2).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
◉ Our pick
Spain · 1.65 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.
Norway vs England
World Cup · knockout · 11 Jul · Polymarket  
Norway22.6%
Draw26.1%
England52.1%
Polymarket decimal price
Norway
4.42
Polymarket
Draw
3.83
Polymarket
England
1.92
Polymarket
Norway wins
$442
Draw
$383
England wins
$192
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
Norway — last 5
W 2–1 BrazilW 2–1 Côte d'IvoireL 1–4 FranceW 3–2 SenegalW 4–1 Iraq
England — last 5
W 3–2 MexicoW 2–1 Congo DRW 2–0 PanamaD 0–0 GhanaW 4–2 Croatia
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
0-1
England · Medium
Soccerholic AI
England lean, projected 0-1 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is England at 52.1%.
  • Last-five form points: Norway 12, England 13.
  • FIFA rank edge: England (4).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
◉ Our pick
Norway · 4.44 @ Polymarket · 1.0u
logged before kickoff · tracked vs Polymarket close
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.
Argentina vs Switzerland
World Cup · knockout · 12 Jul · Polymarket  
Argentina56.9%
Draw26.9%
Switzerland16.4%
Polymarket decimal price
Argentina
1.76
Polymarket
Draw
3.72
Polymarket
Switzerland
6.11
Polymarket
Argentina wins
$176
Draw
$372
Switzerland wins
$611
Estimated gross return if outcome wins
Recent form
Argentina — last 5
W 3–2 EgyptW 3–2 Cabo VerdeW 3–1 JordanW 2–0 AustriaW 3–0 Algeria
Switzerland — last 5
W 4–3 ColombiaW 2–0 AlgeriaW 2–1 CanadaW 4–1 Bosnia and Herze...D 1–1 Qatar
Team news
Confirmed line-ups & key absences land here ~75m before kickoff. Source: API-Football.
AI verdict
1-0
Argentina · Medium
Soccerholic AI
Argentina lean, projected 1-0 in regular time.
  • Polymarket's biggest implied outcome is Argentina at 56.9%.
  • Last-five form points: Argentina 15, Switzerland 13.
  • FIFA rank edge: Argentina (1).
Risk
  • Lineups can move the price late.
  • Knockout matches carry extra-time/penalty variance.
— No pick
No logged pick for this match.
Info only, not a tip — you decide. 18+.